What this covers, how we decide, and what we leave out
Scope
Laws passed by the Republican Congress and signed since January 20, 2025, executive orders, agency actions, court rulings on those actions, budget cuts and rescissions, and military actions with a measurable effect on households. The largest single item is the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which became Public Law 119-21 on July 4, 2025 after passing the House 218 to 214 and the Senate 51 to 50 on the Vice President's vote. It makes the 2017 tax cuts permanent, adds temporary deductions, and pays for part of that with about $911 billion in federal Medicaid cuts and $186 billion in SNAP cuts over ten years, new limits on student loans, and the early end of clean-energy tax credits.
How an item gets listed
An action is listed when a nonpartisan analysis finds it costs or benefits an identifiable group of people. The analyses we lean on are the Congressional Budget Office, the Government Accountability Office, KFF, the Tax Policy Center, the Tax Foundation, Yale's Budget Lab, the Penn Wharton Budget Model, and federal agencies' own rules and data. Each item is rated Major, Significant or Smaller by how much it can cost one household, and the results page for every profile lists what helps as well.
Every item names its primary record. For the One Big Beautiful Bill that is the section number, linked to the enacted text on govinfo.gov. For everything else it is the executive order, proclamation, agency announcement, court opinion or budget document, linked to the original.
Where a conservative outlet or a Republican official has confirmed the same fact, we link them. That is not a claim that they oppose the policy, only that the fact is not in dispute across the aisle.
A few items on enforcement operations, court timelines and elections cite Wikipedia articles. We use them only where the article's own citations run to court filings, agency data or major news reporting, and we say so in the source note. Every number that matters is anchored to a primary record or a nonpartisan analysis.
The verdict
The verdict is a rule, not an opinion. Households over $250,000 get a yes, because the tax provisions favor them on any reading; the page then lists what still costs them. Anyone with a Major item aimed at their situation gets a no. Everyone else gets a mixed verdict that names the tax cut they likely received and the costs that offset it.
Things people blame on the One Big Beautiful Bill that are not in it
A 4% automatic Medicare cut would have been triggered under the pay-as-you-go statute, but Congress waived it in November 2025, so it is not listed. Sales of public land, a ban on state AI laws, cuts to federal workers' pensions and a Medicaid ban on gender-affirming care were in draft versions and dropped before passage. The enhanced marketplace subsidies were not repealed by the law; Congress declined to extend them in the law and has not since, so the expiration is listed with that explanation.
Anchors
- Official Public Law 119-21, full text (govinfo.gov) The enacted law. Every section link on this site points here.
- Official Estimated budgetary effects of Public Law 119-21 (Congressional Budget Office) $3.4 trillion added to deficits, 2025β2034.
- Official Estimated effects on the number of uninsured people in 2034 (Congressional Budget Office) 10 million more uninsured in 2034.
- Official Distributional effects of Public Law 119-21 (Congressional Budget Office) Lowest-income tenth loses about $1,200 a year; highest tenth gains about $13,600.
- Nonpartisan Health provisions in the 2025 federal budget reconciliation law (KFF) Provision-by-provision table with CBO cost and coverage estimates.
- Conservative FAQ: the One Big Beautiful Bill Act tax changes (Tax Foundation) Finds the bottom fifth gets the smallest tax boost and a net decline by 2034, from the tax provisions alone.
- Conservative Trump tariffs: the economic impact of the trade war (Tax Foundation) $1,000 per household in 2025, $820 in 2026.
- Nonpartisan OBBBA: budget, economic, and distributional effects (Penn Wharton Budget Model) Bottom fifth loses about $1,035 in 2026; top 10% receive about 70% of the value.
- Official Status of IRA and IIJA funds: rescissions and cancelled awards (Government Accountability Office (GAO-26-108434))
- Official Statutory pay-as-you-go effects of Public Law 119-21 (Congressional Budget Office) The automatic Medicare cut the law would have triggered (later waived by Congress).
- Nonpartisan Congress to wipe $3.4 trillion from PAYGO scorecard (Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget) November 2025: the automatic Medicare cut was waived.
Limits
Program rules differ by state. Ten states never expanded Medicaid, so the work requirement and copay provisions mostly do not apply there, while the SNAP and tax changes apply everywhere. Agencies are still writing rules and courts are still ruling, so dates and details were last reviewed in September 2026 and may have shifted. Projections such as electricity prices and coverage losses are models, and each item says so and links the model. This is not legal, tax or benefits advice.
Corrections
If a number, date or citation is wrong, we want to fix it. The content lives in a handful of plain-text files, and every claim carries its source so it can be checked.
Changelog
Content last updated 2026-11-06. Changes are listed newest first; automatic updates say so and name the evidence they used.
- 2026-11-06 [auto: link-check] 351 links checked, 2 unreachable, 1 flags changed
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- 2026-09-14 [auto: link-check] 351 links checked, 1 unreachable, 1 flags changed
- 2026-09-13 [auto: link-check] 351 links checked, 0 unreachable, 1 flags changed
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- 2026-09-12 [auto: link-check] 351 links checked, 0 unreachable, 1 flags changed
- 2026-09-12 [auto: link-check] 351 links checked, 1 unreachable, 1 flags changed
- 2026-09-10 Replaced a dead link for the USAID item and dropped an unreachable AOL article quoting Sen. Rand Paul on the Iran war (other Republican sources remain).
- 2026-09-10 Site launched with the One Big Beautiful Bill, federal services, health and safety, and immigration batches.
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